Total Pageviews

Saturday, October 22, 2016

How we got here.


1. The media did not do its job vetting candidates during the primary elections and held the big revelations for October and did us a big disservice.
2. Only 12 percent of the voters voted in the Republican primary elections and 
this is way too low.
3. Hillary Clinton scarred off serious opposition in the Democratic primary.
4. Money did not matter. Jeb Bush had more money than anyone and it did him no good.
5. The Republicans never faced up the challenge the Tea Party represented to them and when it became more populist had no answer.
6. The Republicans were never prepared for a candidate like Trump—Billionaire, populist, reality TV star, and gadfly.
7. 17 candidates split the Republican primary vote that did not allow anyone to challenge Trump until it was too late.
8. Ted Cruz was viewed by insiders as worse than Trump.
9. Conservatives are less numerous than most of us thought
10. Evangelical voters voted against their professed beliefs.

Monday, September 5, 2016

10 things I do not like about Hillary Clinton

1.     She will not hold a press conference
2.       She is afraid of making a mistake
3.       She lied to the public according to the FBI
4.       Her speaking style
5.       Her stand against the 2nd Amendment
6.       Her stand against the Free Exercise clause
7.       Her reliance on really, very, big money
8.       Her actions/lack of actions on Benghazi
9.       Her seeming dislike of male voters

10.   Her acting as Secretary of State while her husband was taking funds for his global initiative from foreign governments. 

Sunday, August 21, 2016

Random thoughts about the coming election

5 things I have been thinking about the election.
1. Will turnout matter. I think we will have a different electorate than 4 years ago and it will be interesting to see who turns out to vote.
2. Will there be a silent Trump vote. Trump is a weird candidate and I suspect there are people who will vote for him and not want to admit they will. How many?
3. The misogyny anti-Clinton vote. We know that some people will not vote for a woman. Generally, the literature I have seen says it is not significant and I hope that is right but again this will largely be hidden and so it will not show up in the polls.
4. Has the main stream media ever been so wholly against a candidate the way they are against Trump? Will this matter.
5. Can Hillary Clinton have a good finish. Clinton is not a natural candidate and makes mistakes. Can she avoid the pitfalls and finish strong?

Saturday, May 28, 2016

Libertarian debate on CSPAN Tonight

I will never vote Libertarian and yet I intend to watch the debate to see what is new.  If you have nothing else to do on this holiday weekend tune in tonight.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Stop paying attention to head to head polls at this point. We need to look at the state polls after the conventions.

I wish all the people who have head to head polls would realize that what matters is winning the individual states to win the electoral college and stop trying to get us to think the national numbers at this point in the race mean anything.

Friday, May 20, 2016

Would Bernie Sanders want to be VP to Clinton?

If the Democrats retake the Senate Bernie Sanders would be chairman of the Senate Budget committee.  This job is much more powerful than being VP.  Would he take VP if offered?  I would not if I was him.  He is 74 and would be unlikely to get another shot at running for President so why take the VP?

Monday, May 16, 2016

Why Rubio makes the most sense for Trump's Vice-Presidential running mate.

Rubio left his senate seat to run for President.  Now out of office it would make sense for him to be a VP.   For Trump Rubio would bring energy and youth.   It makes more sense than a 73 year old Newt Gingrich.

Monday, May 9, 2016

What states can Trump win that Romney lost?

For the last year I have wanted a Republican candidate for President that could win states that Romney lost.  For instance, I knew Kasich could win Ohio.  I believe Bush could have won Florida.  But I cannot see any state that Trump can win that Romney lost.  The only way Trump wins is if Clinton cannot turn our her base and the minority vote is substantially less than 4 years ago.

Sunday, May 8, 2016

Trump and the Republican Future

Right now I can see no way that Trump can win the Presidency.   I can see a way for Clinton to lose but that is not likely.   For Republicans the future is about who can survive the coming Trump loss.   That is especially true for the Senators running for reelection.