5 things I have been thinking about the election.
1. Will turnout matter. I think we will have a different electorate than 4 years ago and it will be interesting to see who turns out to vote.
2. Will there be a silent Trump vote. Trump is a weird candidate and I suspect there are people who will vote for him and not want to admit they will. How many?
3. The misogyny anti-Clinton vote. We know that some people will not vote for a woman. Generally, the literature I have seen says it is not significant and I hope that is right but again this will largely be hidden and so it will not show up in the polls.
4. Has the main stream media ever been so wholly against a candidate the way they are against Trump? Will this matter.
5. Can Hillary Clinton have a good finish. Clinton is not a natural candidate and makes mistakes. Can she avoid the pitfalls and finish strong?
